Greuther Fürth vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
YOB
2 - 4
SGF
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
SGF
3 - 0
THU
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
FCN
0 - 0
SGF
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2014 |
SGF
0 - 0
RTV
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
SGF
0 - 1
RBL
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
DAR
2 - 2
ING
42%
29%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
ING
2 - 1
STP
56%
24%
21%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ING
2 - 0
KAI
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
RBL
0 - 1
ING
54%
25%
20%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
ING
3 - 0
RTV
52%
25%
24%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |