Greuther Fürth vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
32.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
AUG
1 - 0
SGF
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
MUN
0 - 1
SGF
24%
23%
53%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2019 |
SGF
1 - 1
HUR
40%
25%
35%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2019 |
ELT
1 - 3
SGF
6%
15%
79%
|
66 | 27 | 39 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
SGF
2 - 1
STP
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
ERZ
1 - 1
FCU
22%
22%
56%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
ERZ
4 - 1
HER
16%
22%
62%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
ERZ
2 - 1
FRE
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
VIK
1 - 3
ERZ
10%
16%
74%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
COT
2 - 3
ERZ
24%
23%
53%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |