Greuther Fürth vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
12.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
MUN
2 - 0
SGF
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
SGF
1 - 1
VFR
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
SGF
2 - 1
KAI
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SVS
1 - 0
SGF
18%
25%
57%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
SGF
3 - 0
STP
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
ERZ
1 - 0
VFR
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
ING
1 - 1
ERZ
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
ERZ
3 - 0
STP
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
DAR
2 - 0
ERZ
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
ERZ
0 - 3
F95
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |