Greuther Fürth vs FC Augsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
WAL
1 - 2
SGF
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1979 |
SGF
0 - 0
BAY
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
SAA
0 - 0
SGF
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1979 |
SGF
2 - 0
HOM
39%
26%
36%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
KSC
1 - 2
SGF
69%
18%
13%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FC Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
AUG
1 - 1
HOM
29%
25%
46%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1979 |
OFC
5 - 0
AUG
78%
14%
8%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
AUG
1 - 0
WWO
44%
28%
29%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
SCF
3 - 0
AUG
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
AUG
1 - 1
SVS
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |