Greuther Fürth vs Eintracht Trier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1978 |
SVS
0 - 4
SGF
55%
24%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1978 |
SGF
5 - 0
PIR
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1978 |
FSV
0 - 0
SGF
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1978 |
SGF
3 - 2
OFC
38%
25%
37%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1978 |
WUR
1 - 2
SGF
41%
28%
32%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Eintracht Trier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1978 |
EIN
2 - 1
BUR
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1978 |
BAY
2 - 1
EIN
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1978 |
BAY
1 - 2
EIN
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1978 |
EIN
1 - 0
SVS
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1978 |
PIR
0 - 4
EIN
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |