Greuther Fürth vs Darmstadt 98 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
40.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
4º
15º
14º
25
10º
17º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 64 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 64 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 57 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 56 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 53 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 52 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 51 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 49 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 46 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 43 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 41 |
14º
|
27% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
41.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 29 |
16º
|
40% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 27 |
17º
|
37% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 23 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
SSV
1 - 0
SGF
24%
22%
54%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
S04
3 - 4
SGF
44%
25%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SGF
0 - 4
FCN
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
SGF
1 - 3
MUN
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MAG
2 - 2
SGF
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Darmstadt 98
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
SGD
2 - 3
DAR
35%
24%
41%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
DAR
1 - 1
ULM
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
DAR
5 - 1
KOL
23%
22%
55%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
DAR
1 - 0
SGB
84%
12%
4%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
KSC
3 - 3
DAR
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |