Greuther Fürth vs Borussia Neunkirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
FSV
3 - 1
SGF
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
SGF
4 - 0
FCH
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
FRE
2 - 3
SGF
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
SGF
3 - 1
BAU
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
AUG
2 - 4
SGF
49%
27%
25%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Borussia Neunkirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
BNE
1 - 0
HOM
28%
24%
48%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
OFC
3 - 1
BNE
79%
14%
8%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
BNE
1 - 2
WWO
43%
28%
30%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
SCF
4 - 4
BNE
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
EIN
2 - 1
BNE
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |