Greuther Fürth vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
69.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
ING
1 - 1
SGF
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
SGF
3 - 1
SVS
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
SGF
0 - 2
FCL
43%
24%
33%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2018 |
AUB
1 - 4
SGF
6%
14%
80%
|
68 | 38 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
HEI
1 - 1
SGF
50%
25%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
BVB
1 - 0
LAZ
52%
23%
25%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
BVB
1 - 3
NAP
39%
25%
36%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
BVB
1 - 1
REN
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
BVB
2 - 2
SLB
51%
24%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
LIV
1 - 3
BVB
54%
22%
24%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |