Greuther Fürth vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SGD
2 - 1
SGF
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
SGF
2 - 1
RTV
34%
26%
41%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
SGF
0 - 1
KAI
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
SGF
2 - 1
M05
20%
23%
57%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
EBT
1 - 0
SGF
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
ARB
2 - 1
HEI
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
ARB
6 - 1
S04
81%
14%
5%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
STU
3 - 1
ARB
63%
20%
17%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
ARB
1 - 0
SVS
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
SGD
0 - 1
ARB
50%
23%
27%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |