Greuther Fürth vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
AUG
3 - 1
SGF
45%
27%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
SGF
1 - 2
SCF
34%
26%
41%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
STU
0 - 2
SGF
65%
21%
15%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
SGF
2 - 3
HAN
27%
24%
49%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
FCN
0 - 1
SGF
55%
25%
21%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
WAC
1 - 0
ARB
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ARB
1 - 0
OSN
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
STU
0 - 1
ARB
25%
26%
49%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ARB
2 - 1
HAL
72%
19%
9%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
HEI
3 - 0
ARB
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |