Greuther Fürth vs 1860 München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
PAD
2 - 2
SGF
36%
26%
37%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SGF
2 - 1
ERZ
63%
21%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
ING
0 - 0
SGF
29%
26%
46%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
STP
2 - 2
SGF
37%
26%
38%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
SGF
4 - 1
F95
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
MUN
2 - 1
ARB
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
SGD
4 - 2
MUN
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MUN
0 - 3
KSC
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
MUN
0 - 1
KOL
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
COT
1 - 2
MUN
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |