Greuther Fürth U19 vs Mainz 05 U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.9%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
78.1%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.8%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.4%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
10º
10º
46
1º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
AUG
2 - 2
GRE
73%
16%
11%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
3 - 1
SDH
87%
9%
4%
|
14 | 6 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
STU
1 - 4
GRE
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 33 | 21 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
KAR
1 - 1
GRE
73%
16%
11%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 1
MAI
8%
14%
78%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Mainz 05 U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
MAI
3 - 2
KAI
90%
7%
3%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ING
0 - 0
MAI
14%
18%
68%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
MAI
2 - 2
NUR
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
MAI
5 - 1
AUG
81%
12%
7%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
MAI
11%
16%
74%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | -1 |