Greuther Fürth II vs Würzburger FV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+95%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
GRO
2 - 0
GRE
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
GRE
4 - 0
ISM
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
GRE
3 - 0
TSG
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
NUR
1 - 2
GRE
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
GRE
2 - 3
UNT
67%
20%
13%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Würzburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
WUR
1 - 2
HEI
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
WUR
1 - 5
TSG
54%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
UNT
1 - 1
WUR
44%
26%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
WUR
0 - 2
MEM
38%
26%
36%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
BAY
1 - 1
WUR
36%
26%
38%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |