Greuther Fürth II vs VfR Garching analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
EIN
2 - 0
GRE
40%
25%
36%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 1
SEL
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ILL
1 - 3
GRE
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 1
ING
31%
24%
45%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
AUG
1 - 1
GRE
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
VRG
1 - 2
MEM
38%
27%
36%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
VRG
1 - 1
EIN
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
SEL
2 - 0
VRG
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
VRG
0 - 4
ILL
20%
22%
58%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
ING
4 - 1
VRG
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |