Greuther Fürth II vs TSV Schwaben Augsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
21%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
5º
17º
10º
15
6º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
18 | 74 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 67 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 61 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 61 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 60 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 59 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 54 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 50 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 48 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
10 | 46 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 41 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 39 |
13º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 37 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 33 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 31 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 31 |
17º
|
20.5% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 22 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
89% | 83.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9.5% | 11.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 3
ILL
42%
26%
33%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 0
GRE
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 1
GRE
40%
25%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 2
EIN
68%
19%
12%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
BUC
1 - 4
GRE
25%
25%
50%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TSA
4 - 3
SCH
24%
23%
53%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
EIN
0 - 2
TSA
48%
23%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TSA
0 - 2
BUC
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HAH
4 - 2
TSA
28%
24%
48%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TSA
0 - 2
AUB
48%
24%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |