Greuther Fürth II vs Nürnberg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2005 |
FEU
2 - 2
GRE
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
GRE
3 - 1
MEM
52%
24%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
UNT
0 - 1
GRE
44%
26%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
GRE
3 - 0
FCP
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
TSV
1 - 1
GRE
56%
23%
21%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
NUR
3 - 1
KEM
75%
15%
10%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
GRO
0 - 0
NUR
35%
23%
42%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
NUR
7 - 1
ISM
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
QUF
2 - 7
NUR
45%
25%
30%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
NUR
1 - 1
BAD
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |