Greuther Fürth II vs Nürnberg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
40.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2003 |
GRE
6 - 2
TSV
39%
24%
37%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
TSA
2 - 2
GRE
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
GRE
0 - 1
FEU
20%
22%
57%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
BAY
3 - 1
GRE
58%
21%
22%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
GRE
2 - 0
BAY
55%
23%
23%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2003 |
NUR
7 - 5
FEU
30%
25%
45%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2003 |
BAY
1 - 2
NUR
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
NUR
6 - 1
BAY
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2003 |
SCS
1 - 1
NUR
29%
25%
47%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
NUR
0 - 4
ISM
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |