Greuther Fürth II vs Jahn Regensburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2004 |
WEI
0 - 4
GRE
35%
26%
39%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
GRE
3 - 3
ISM
44%
25%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 1
FUR
44%
25%
32%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2004 |
BAY
3 - 3
GRE
55%
22%
24%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
GRE
3 - 1
WUR
75%
16%
10%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Jahn Regensburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2004 |
JRE
2 - 2
FUR
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
BAY
1 - 1
JRE
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
JRE
1 - 1
WUR
73%
16%
10%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2004 |
MEM
3 - 1
JRE
55%
23%
23%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
JRE
2 - 2
GRO
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |