Greuther Fürth II vs Illertissen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
50.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2017 |
NUR
2 - 1
GRE
73%
17%
11%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 2
SCH
30%
24%
46%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
SCH
6 - 0
GRE
56%
23%
22%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
BUC
1 - 1
GRE
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 1
AUG
26%
25%
50%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
ILL
2 - 0
MEM
41%
24%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
VRG
2 - 2
ILL
33%
26%
42%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
ILL
2 - 3
ROS
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
ILL
1 - 3
SCH
62%
20%
17%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2017 |
186
2 - 2
ILL
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |