Greuther Fürth II vs Hessen Kassel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
32%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
WWO
2 - 1
GRE
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 0
HOF
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
186
0 - 0
GRE
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 0
MEM
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
FRA
2 - 0
GRE
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Hessen Kassel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
HES
3 - 2
FRA
29%
23%
47%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
FSV
0 - 2
HES
31%
23%
46%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
HES
1 - 1
BAY
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
FRE
4 - 0
HES
55%
21%
24%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
SGS
6 - 1
HES
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -2 |