Greuther Fürth II vs Heimstetten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
SCH
1 - 0
GRE
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
GRE
1 - 2
RAI
73%
16%
11%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 2
WAC
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
ROS
0 - 2
GRE
26%
25%
49%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
AUB
2 - 0
GRE
39%
26%
36%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Heimstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
HEI
3 - 1
AUB
25%
23%
52%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
EIC
5 - 2
HEI
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
TAM
4 - 0
HEI
71%
18%
12%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
HEI
0 - 3
BAY
26%
22%
52%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
NUR
3 - 1
HEI
68%
18%
14%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |