Greuther Fürth II vs Bayern Hof analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
AUG
3 - 1
GRE
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
GRE
3 - 1
WUR
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
SEL
1 - 2
GRE
53%
24%
24%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
RAI
2 - 0
GRE
30%
25%
45%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
GRE
4 - 1
VIK
65%
20%
16%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Bayern Hof
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
BAY
2 - 1
ISM
22%
24%
55%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
BAY
1 - 0
BAY
68%
20%
12%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BAY
3 - 1
EIN
34%
25%
41%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
BUC
2 - 1
BAY
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
BAY
2 - 3
NUR
16%
22%
61%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |