Greuther Fürth II vs Bayern Hof analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2003 |
SCS
3 - 1
GRE
44%
23%
34%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2003 |
GRE
1 - 2
NUR
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2003 |
GRE
6 - 2
TSV
39%
24%
37%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
TSA
2 - 2
GRE
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
GRE
0 - 1
FEU
20%
22%
57%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern Hof
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2003 |
BAY
0 - 0
FUR
42%
24%
35%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
BAY
5 - 1
BAY
72%
17%
11%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2003 |
ISM
5 - 0
BAY
67%
20%
13%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
BAY
0 - 2
SCS
66%
20%
15%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
NUR
6 - 1
BAY
65%
20%
15%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |