Gretna vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
54.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gretna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
ABE
3 - 0
GRE
64%
22%
15%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2008 |
GRE
0 - 3
DUN
34%
26%
41%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
GRE
4 - 2
KIL
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
GLA
4 - 2
GRE
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
GRE
1 - 3
MHE
36%
27%
38%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2008 |
CEL
0 - 1
ABE
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
CEL
0 - 0
DUN
61%
22%
18%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
ABE
1 - 1
CEL
34%
25%
41%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2008 |
FCB
1 - 0
CEL
80%
13%
7%
|
82 | 94 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
HIB
0 - 2
CEL
43%
24%
33%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |