Gretna vs Airdrieonians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gretna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
PAR
0 - 6
GRE
23%
23%
54%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
HIB
6 - 0
GRE
59%
21%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
GRE
1 - 1
LIV
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2006 |
ROS
3 - 2
GRE
24%
24%
52%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
GRE
0 - 4
DUN
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
Airdrieonians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
AIR
0 - 1
DUN
40%
26%
35%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
STJ
1 - 0
AIR
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
LIV
3 - 0
AIR
57%
24%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
AIR
1 - 2
HAM
34%
25%
41%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
AIR
2 - 2
QOS
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |