Gretna vs Airdrieonians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
7.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gretna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
HIB
3 - 1
GRE
60%
20%
20%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
STJ
2 - 1
GRE
36%
25%
39%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
GRE
4 - 1
LIV
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
PAR
2 - 2
GRE
23%
22%
55%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2007 |
QOS
0 - 4
GRE
14%
20%
67%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Airdrieonians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
AIR
0 - 3
DUN
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
AIR
1 - 0
CLY
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
STJ
4 - 3
AIR
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2007 |
AIR
1 - 0
HAM
38%
26%
37%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
LIV
1 - 3
AIR
56%
25%
19%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |