Gretna 2008 vs Queen's Park analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gretna 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
PRE
0 - 2
GRE
16%
19%
64%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
GRE
0 - 2
EDI
43%
24%
33%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 1
GAL
72%
17%
11%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 2
GRE
27%
24%
49%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 0
SPA
34%
24%
42%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Queen's Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
QUE
2 - 0
BER
31%
24%
45%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
EAS
2 - 2
QUE
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
QUE
2 - 1
ELG
42%
24%
35%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
ALB
1 - 0
QUE
56%
24%
21%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
QUE
1 - 2
GLA
9%
18%
73%
|
40 | 71 | 31 | +1 |