Gretna 2008 vs Hearts II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
63.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
6º
18º
18º
14
1º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
19 | 77 |
1º
|
64% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 71 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
1º
|
24 | 62 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 59 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 58 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
|
8º
|
14 | 55 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 53 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 53 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 51 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 44 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 44 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 43 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 40 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 32 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 31 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 30 |
16º
|
12% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 28 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 23 |
18º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
58% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation / Relegation playoffs
|
42% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gretna 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 1
CFC
5%
12%
83%
|
18 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 3
LIN
10%
15%
76%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
CUM
0 - 1
GRE
87%
10%
4%
|
18 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
STI
0 - 1
GRE
86%
10%
4%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 3
ALB
10%
16%
75%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Hearts II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
HOM
6 - 1
BER
64%
19%
17%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
HOM
0 - 1
TRA
50%
22%
27%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
LIN
3 - 4
HOM
37%
24%
40%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GAL
1 - 5
HOM
20%
22%
58%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 1
HOM
58%
19%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |