Gretna 2008 vs East Stirlingshire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
56.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+171%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
11º
18º
17º
33
14º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 71 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
65 | 65 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
64 | 64 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
61 | 61 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
58 | 58 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
54 | 54 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
51 | 51 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
51 | 51 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
49 | 49 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
48 | 48 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
46 | 46 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
16 | 16 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
8 | 8 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gretna 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
STI
2 - 0
GRE
84%
11%
5%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 0
DAL
57%
20%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 1
CBF
17%
18%
66%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 0
CWB
25%
23%
52%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
HOM
2 - 1
GRE
83%
11%
7%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
East Stirlingshire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
TRA
3 - 1
THE
81%
13%
6%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
CUM
2 - 0
THE
65%
18%
17%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
THE
2 - 1
BON
25%
22%
54%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +2 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
BFC
0 - 2
THE
70%
16%
14%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
THE
1 - 3
CIV
27%
22%
50%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |