Gretna 2008 vs Cowdenbeath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
57.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
6º
18º
18º
7
9º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
19 | 77 |
1º
|
65% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 71 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
1º
|
24 | 62 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 59 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 56 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 56 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 55 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 53 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 51 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 44 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 44 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 43 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 40 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 32 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 31 |
15º
|
17% | |
|
|
15º
|
7 | 30 |
16º
|
19% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 28 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 23 |
18º
|
47.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
52.5% | 90.5% |
|
Relegation / Relegation playoffs
|
47.5% | 9.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gretna 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
EAS
2 - 0
GRE
86%
10%
4%
|
21 | 54 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 2
TRA
7%
14%
79%
|
18 | 47 | 29 | +3 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CBF
0 - 0
GRE
85%
11%
4%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BON
3 - 0
GRE
90%
7%
3%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 2
BRX
12%
17%
71%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CWB
3 - 2
RGF
72%
17%
12%
|
37 | 6 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BRX
4 - 0
CWB
56%
23%
22%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CWB
0 - 1
GRE
10%
19%
71%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LIN
3 - 1
CWB
61%
21%
19%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CWB
1 - 1
CBF
31%
26%
43%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |