Gretna 2008 vs Celtic II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.6%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
73.8%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
11º
18º
17º
59
4º
16º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
56 | 56 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 49 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 49 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
70.5% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
39 | 39 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
12 | 12 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 9 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gretna 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 1
STI
9%
14%
77%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
CFC
7 - 0
GRE
85%
10%
6%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
EAS
4 - 1
GRE
89%
8%
3%
|
16 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 2
BON
12%
16%
72%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
LIN
5 - 0
GRE
89%
8%
3%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
CFC
2 - 0
BFC
64%
19%
17%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
CFC
7 - 0
GRE
85%
10%
6%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
CBF
4 - 2
CFC
24%
22%
54%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CFC
0 - 2
EAS
35%
22%
43%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CWB
3 - 3
CFC
18%
22%
60%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |