Gretna 2008 vs Albion Rovers analysis

Gretna 2008 Albion Rovers
11 ELO 44
20.1% Tilt 9.5%
12587º General ELO ranking 5187º
101º Country ELO ranking 56º
ELO win probability
6.6%
Gretna 2008
13.1%
Draw
80.3%
Albion Rovers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.6%
Win probability
Gretna 2008
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
80.3%
Win probability
Albion Rovers
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.4%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.8%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Gretna 2008
Their league position
Albion Rovers
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
11º
18º
17º
46
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
East Kilbride
81
81
100%
Hearts II
69
69
100%
Bo'ness United
67
67
100%
Cumbernauld Colts
65
65
100%
Tranent Juniors FC
60
60
100%
Celtic II
59
59
100%
Civil Service Strollers
56
56
100%
Linlithgow Rose
50
50
100%
Albion Rovers
46
49
20%
Stirling University
11º
46
49
10º
20.5%
Cowdenbeath
10º
46
46
11º
70.5%
Caledonian Braves
12º
45
45
12º
100%
Berwick Rangers
13º
42
42
13º
100%
East Stirlingshire
14º
40
40
14º
100%
Broomhill FC
15º
39
39
15º
100%
Gala Fairydean Rovers
16º
32
32
16º
100%
Gretna 2008
17º
12
12
17º
100%
AFC Edinburgh University
18º
9
9
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Gretna 2008
Albion Rovers
100% 100%

ELO progression

Gretna 2008
Albion Rovers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gretna 2008
Gretna 2008
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Aug. 2023
BON
Bo'ness United
2 - 0
Gretna 2008
GRE
90%
7%
3%
12 36 24 0
29 Jul. 2023
GRE
Gretna 2008
2 - 9
Linlithgow Rose
LIN
7%
13%
81%
13 44 31 -1
26 Jul. 2023
GRE
Gretna 2008
0 - 7
East Kilbride
EAS
5%
10%
85%
15 42 27 -2
21 Jul. 2023
HOM
Hearts II
7 - 0
Gretna 2008
GRE
87%
9%
4%
15 36 21 0
11 Jul. 2023
GRE
Gretna 2008
0 - 7
Carlisle United
CUM
6%
15%
80%
15 62 47 0

Matches

Albion Rovers
Albion Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Aug. 2023
ALB
Albion Rovers
1 - 2
Hearts II
HOM
57%
22%
20%
45 37 8 0
01 Aug. 2023
STM
St. Mirren II
2 - 2
Albion Rovers
ALB
9%
13%
79%
45 7 38 0
29 Jul. 2023
ALB
Albion Rovers
1 - 2
Kilmarnock
KIL
11%
22%
67%
45 69 24 0
25 Jul. 2023
ALB
Albion Rovers
0 - 3
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
13%
20%
67%
46 64 18 -1
22 Jul. 2023
BLA
Annan Athletic
1 - 2
Albion Rovers
ALB
64%
19%
17%
45 50 5 +1
X