Gresford Athletic vs Llay Welfare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
6.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresford Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
FMC
0 - 3
GRE
16%
18%
66%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 2
PRE
61%
19%
20%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BUC
2 - 2
GRE
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
GUI
0 - 1
GRE
66%
20%
15%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 2
RTW
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Llay Welfare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
LLW
3 - 1
DEN
10%
13%
77%
|
9 | 43 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LLW
3 - 6
FMC
33%
22%
45%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
LLA
4 - 2
LLW
82%
11%
7%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
AIR
9 - 1
LLW
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 55 | 44 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
LLW
2 - 0
RHY
37%
21%
42%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |