Gresford Athletic vs Holywell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
68.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresford Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 3
AIR
21%
22%
57%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
AIR
0 - 0
GRE
81%
12%
7%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
GRE
6 - 0
AAA
70%
17%
14%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 3
CAE
57%
20%
23%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 5
MOL
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Holywell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
AAA
0 - 2
HOL
10%
17%
72%
|
55 | 25 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
BUC
1 - 2
HOL
8%
16%
76%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
HOL
1 - 0
RTW
81%
13%
6%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
HOL
1 - 2
AIR
64%
20%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
LLA
0 - 2
HOL
6%
13%
81%
|
55 | 24 | 31 | 0 |