Gresford Athletic vs Bangor 1876 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
26.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresford Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
HOL
4 - 1
GRE
78%
15%
7%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
LLA
2 - 3
GRE
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 5
HOL
12%
20%
69%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 3
AIR
21%
22%
57%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
AIR
0 - 0
GRE
81%
12%
7%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bangor 1876
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
AAA
0 - 1
CPD
28%
22%
50%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
HOL
2 - 1
CPD
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CPD
3 - 2
AAA
62%
18%
20%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
AIR
4 - 0
CPD
81%
12%
7%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
CPD
4 - 1
POR
37%
21%
42%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |