Grêmio Sãocarlense vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
72.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Sãocarlense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 1
GDS
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
GDS
0 - 1
CAT
44%
26%
30%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 1
GDS
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
GDS
2 - 1
UNI
18%
22%
61%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 1
GDS
66%
20%
15%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
XVD
4 - 2
UNI
64%
21%
16%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
CAT
1 - 0
XVD
12%
20%
68%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
XVD
1 - 1
RIO
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
XVD
1 - 1
POR
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
POR
3 - 2
XVD
29%
26%
46%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |