Grêmio Sãocarlense vs Independente SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Sãocarlense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ECN
0 - 1
GDS
35%
25%
41%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ITA
0 - 0
GDS
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
GDS
1 - 1
ITA
36%
25%
40%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
GDS
0 - 1
BEB
62%
22%
17%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BEB
1 - 2
GDS
22%
23%
56%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
IND
1 - 1
UNI
15%
19%
66%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
IND
2 - 1
AMP
44%
26%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
ITA
1 - 0
IND
52%
26%
22%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
IND
0 - 1
PAU
46%
26%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
IND
2 - 0
UNI
10%
15%
75%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | +2 |