Serrano PB vs Internacional PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
21.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serrano PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
CSP
0 - 1
SPB
41%
25%
34%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
AUT
1 - 0
SPB
55%
22%
22%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
SPB
1 - 2
CAM
24%
24%
51%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SOU
4 - 2
SPB
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 0
SPB
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Internacional PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
IPB
1 - 1
TRE
16%
21%
63%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 2
IPB
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
IPB
1 - 1
BOT
13%
20%
68%
|
28 | 57 | 29 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
IPB
0 - 0
ATL
27%
23%
50%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
AUT
0 - 0
IPB
67%
18%
15%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |