Gaucho 1 Etapas Finales Final
Global 3-1
Grêmio vs Ypiranga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
YPI
0 - 1
GRE
21%
25%
54%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 1
SCI
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SCI
0 - 3
GRE
47%
25%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 0
YPI
81%
13%
6%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
SCI
1 - 0
GRE
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ypiranga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
YPI
0 - 1
GRE
21%
25%
54%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
YPI
3 - 1
BRA
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 0
YPI
27%
27%
47%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 0
YPI
81%
13%
6%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
YPI
2 - 0
CAX
73%
18%
10%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |