Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
GRE
1 - 1
GOI
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
COR
1 - 1
GRE
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 4
JUV
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
FLA
3 - 0
GRE
42%
27%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2004 |
GRE
1 - 1
GUA
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
VAS
1 - 1
FLU
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
GUA
1 - 1
VAS
29%
26%
46%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
VAS
3 - 0
ATM
44%
25%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
CRI
1 - 0
VAS
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2004 |
VAS
2 - 3
SAN
33%
25%
42%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |