Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1998 |
GRE
4 - 0
NAC
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1998 |
GRE
0 - 2
SAO
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1998 |
NAC
1 - 1
GRE
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1998 |
GRE
1 - 0
AME
58%
23%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1998 |
GRE
2 - 0
CHI
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1998 |
VAS
0 - 0
CRZ
65%
21%
15%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1998 |
CRZ
2 - 0
VAS
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1998 |
VAS
4 - 3
SAO
55%
23%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1998 |
SAO
1 - 1
VAS
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
CRZ
0 - 0
VAS
44%
25%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |