Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1998 |
GRE
2 - 0
LIN
89%
9%
2%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1998 |
LIN
0 - 0
GRE
6%
16%
78%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1997 |
FLU
0 - 2
GRE
26%
25%
48%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1997 |
GRE
1 - 4
GUA
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1997 |
NAC
3 - 1
GRE
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1998 |
VAS
2 - 0
VIL
93%
5%
2%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1998 |
VAS
8 - 0
PIC
96%
4%
1%
|
82 | 40 | 42 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1998 |
PIC
1 - 1
VAS
3%
12%
85%
|
82 | 39 | 43 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1997 |
VAS
0 - 0
PAL
45%
25%
31%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1997 |
PAL
0 - 0
VAS
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |