Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1989 |
FLA
1 - 1
GRE
47%
28%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
GRE
1 - 3
SAO
46%
28%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1989 |
SCI
2 - 0
GRE
46%
28%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1989 |
GRE
3 - 0
COR
53%
27%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1989 |
GRE
0 - 1
BOT
56%
26%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1989 |
SAO
0 - 1
VAS
65%
22%
14%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1989 |
SCI
0 - 2
VAS
53%
27%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
COR
0 - 1
VAS
49%
28%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1989 |
VAS
2 - 2
BOT
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
VAS
1 - 1
ATM
49%
26%
24%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |