Grêmio vs ULA Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
10.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 1984 |
FLA
3 - 1
GRE
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1984 |
ULA
0 - 2
GRE
2%
17%
82%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1984 |
GRE
5 - 1
FLA
49%
27%
25%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1984 |
VAS
3 - 0
GRE
53%
24%
24%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1984 |
GRE
1 - 0
VAS
57%
24%
19%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
ULA Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 1984 |
ULA
0 - 2
GRE
2%
17%
82%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1984 |
ULA
0 - 3
FLA
23%
24%
53%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1984 |
ULA
2 - 1
SPC
39%
24%
37%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
SPC
2 - 0
ULA
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1984 |
MEL
0 - 1
ULA
76%
14%
10%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |