Grêmio vs Univ de Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
GRE
2 - 0
JUV
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
GRE
3 - 0
BRA
85%
12%
3%
|
84 | 44 | 40 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ECA
1 - 2
GRE
10%
19%
71%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
GRE
2 - 0
JUV
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 2
SCI
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
UNI
0 - 1
UCH
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
CSD
0 - 4
UCH
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
UCH
4 - 1
COB
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
PAC
2 - 1
UCH
58%
22%
19%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
UCH
1 - 0
PAC
44%
24%
32%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |