Grêmio vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
11.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1997 |
POR
1 - 1
GRE
40%
27%
32%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1997 |
GRE
2 - 1
POR
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1997 |
GRE
3 - 1
FOR
76%
15%
9%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1997 |
GRE
2 - 0
ALI
89%
8%
3%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1997 |
FOR
2 - 3
GRE
27%
26%
47%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1997 |
CRZ
2 - 1
SPC
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1997 |
SPC
1 - 1
ALI
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1997 |
SPC
1 - 0
GRE
32%
26%
43%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1997 |
SPC
1 - 0
CRZ
40%
27%
34%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1997 |
ALI
0 - 0
SPC
45%
25%
29%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |