Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 6-3
Grêmio vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.5%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
8.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.7%
4-0
13.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
15.8%
3-0
16.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.9%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
6.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
6.8%
1.6%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
VER
1 - 4
GRE
18%
21%
61%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
GRE
5 - 0
NOV
82%
13%
5%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
RIP
2 - 3
GRE
8%
15%
77%
|
80 | 45 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CAC
1 - 2
GRE
8%
18%
75%
|
80 | 41 | 39 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CAX
1 - 1
GRE
21%
24%
54%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 0
RIP
38%
26%
37%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
RIP
0 - 0
ITA
58%
22%
19%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
RIP
2 - 3
GRE
8%
15%
77%
|
45 | 80 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
RIP
3 - 1
SER
72%
17%
10%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 0
RIP
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |