Grêmio vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
17.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
21.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.2%
+2
24.9%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
22.1%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
0.4%
3-3
<0%
0
11.2%
2.1%
Win probability
0.21
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
JUV
0 - 2
GRE
11%
22%
67%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
DEF
1 - 1
GRE
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
GRE
3 - 0
NOV
79%
16%
5%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
GRE
0 - 0
IND
47%
27%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
VER
2 - 1
GRE
11%
21%
68%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 0
VER
25%
27%
49%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ECS
1 - 0
SAO
61%
24%
16%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 0
SCI
8%
19%
74%
|
41 | 80 | 39 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
SLU
2 - 0
SAO
56%
25%
19%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 0
SAO
67%
21%
12%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |