Grêmio vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
40.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
COR
1 - 0
GRE
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2003 |
GRE
0 - 2
CRI
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
VAS
2 - 0
GRE
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2003 |
PAY
1 - 1
GRE
36%
25%
39%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
GRE
0 - 1
CRZ
36%
26%
38%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
FLA
1 - 1
SAO
31%
25%
44%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2003 |
SAO
1 - 2
PPE
69%
18%
13%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
VIT
0 - 2
SAO
35%
24%
42%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2003 |
SAO
2 - 0
ATP
65%
19%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
FLU
1 - 3
SAO
35%
25%
40%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |