Grêmio vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
23%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1982 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
GRE
39%
28%
32%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1982 |
DEF
0 - 0
GRE
26%
26%
48%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1982 |
SAO
2 - 2
GRE
52%
25%
22%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1982 |
GRE
0 - 1
FLA
41%
28%
32%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
FLA
1 - 1
GRE
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1982 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
SAO
41%
28%
31%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1982 |
DEF
1 - 3
SAO
2%
24%
73%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1982 |
SAO
2 - 2
GRE
52%
25%
22%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1982 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAO
57%
23%
21%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1982 |
SAO
0 - 1
GUA
57%
23%
20%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |